ExpenseBot

How much should I set aside for quarterly estimated taxes?

If you're a US freelancer, creator, or sole proprietor — or a Canadian self-employed individual — you generally owe quarterly estimated tax payments instead of (or in addition to) employer withholding. Skip them and you can owe an underpayment penalty at filing time, plus a painful one-time bill in

If you're a US freelancer, creator, or sole proprietor — or a Canadian self-employed individual — you generally owe quarterly estimated tax payments instead of (or in addition to) employer withholding. Skip them and you can owe an underpayment penalty at filing time, plus a painful one-time bill in April.

ExpenseBot's Settings → Tax cash flow card shows your year-to-date net income, a suggested set-aside, and the next quarterly deadline at a glance.

Quick rule of thumb

A common starting point for sole proprietors and freelancers is 30% of net business income:

ComponentApproximate share
Self-employment tax (SS + Medicare)~15.3% of net (up to the SS wage base)
Federal income tax~12–17% effective, depending on bracket
State / provincial income taxVaries — add separately if applicable

If you're in a high-tax state (CA, NY, OR) or province (QC, ON) you may need 35–40%. If your net is low and most of it falls under the standard deduction, 25% can be enough.

US deadlines (IRS Form 1040-ES)

QuarterDeadline
Q1 (Jan–Mar income)April 15
Q2 (Apr–May income)June 15
Q3 (Jun–Aug income)September 15
Q4 (Sep–Dec income)January 15 of the following year

Pay online at EFTPS.gov or IRS Direct Pay. Mail-in is also accepted with Form 1040-ES vouchers.

Canadian deadlines (CRA T1 instalments)

QuarterDeadline
Q1March 15
Q2June 15
Q3September 15
Q4December 15

Pay through CRA My Account, online banking ("Federal — Tax Instalment"), or by mail with the personalized voucher CRA sends.

Quebec residents have separate provincial instalments (Revenu Québec) for QPP/QPIP — check Mon dossier.

What the Tax cash flow card does

The card and modal in Settings → Tax cash flow:

  • 📊 Pull your year-to-date net income from the Income (Beta) tab minus deductible expenses from your main spreadsheet
  • 💰 Show estimated tax owed at your chosen set-aside rate (25% / 30% / 35% / custom)
  • ✅ Track payments you've already made — type the running total into "I've paid this year"
  • ⏰ Show the next quarterly deadline and how many days away it is (turns red when ≤ 14 days)
  • 🌍 Country-aware — uses US dates for US-based users, CRA dates for Canada

What it does NOT do

  • It does not file or pay your taxes — it's a planning estimate
  • It does not include state / provincial income tax in the 30% rate
  • It does not handle complex situations: spouse income, multiple businesses, large W-2 income alongside 1099, foreign tax credits, etc.

For anything beyond a sole-prop rough cut, talk to your accountant.

Avoiding the underpayment penalty

The US safe harbor rule: you generally avoid a penalty if your quarterly payments total at least the smaller of:

  • 90% of this year's tax, OR
  • 100% of last year's tax (110% if last year's AGI was over $150K)

Canada's rule is similar — pay the lesser of the CRA's instalment reminder or your actual liability.

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